Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · BO1
pre-match prediction
Phantom#87 in the worldseries probability
57%43%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
HAVU#107 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePhantom ban
47%75%
Phantom · 11 mapsedge HAVU +28%HAVU · 16 maps
AncientHAVU ban
50%40%
Phantom · 18 mapsedge Phantom +10%HAVU · 6 maps
MiragePhantom ban
45%56%
Phantom · 7 mapsedge HAVU +11%HAVU · 14 maps
Dust2HAVU ban
55%36%
Phantom · 7 mapsedge Phantom +19%HAVU · 10 maps
Infernopossible decider
53%40%
Phantom · 11 mapsedge Phantom +13%HAVU · 6 maps
AnubisHAVU ban
45%40%
Phantom · 7 mapsedge Phantom +5%HAVU · 1 map
CachePhantom ban
33%33%
Phantom · 2 mapsnearly even +0%HAVU · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom remove Mirage
2. BanHAVU remove Anubis
3. BanPhantom remove Cache
4. BanHAVU remove Dust2
5. BanPhantom remove Nuke
6. BanHAVU remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (53% / 40%)