CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Phantom#70 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lavked pick
58%57%
Phantom · 8 mapsnearly even +1%Lavked · 31 map
AncientPhantom pick
58%48%
Phantom · 15 mapsedge Phantom +10%Lavked · 21 map
MiragePhantom ban
50%47%
Phantom · 8 mapsnearly even +3%Lavked · 26 maps
NukeLavked ban
40%36%
Phantom · 6 mapsnearly even +4%Lavked · 21 map
AnubisPhantom ban
42%59%
Phantom · 8 mapsedge Lavked +17%Lavked · 13 maps
InfernoLavked ban
50%38%
Phantom · 12 mapsedge Phantom +12%Lavked · 9 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%33%
Phantom · 0 mapsedge Phantom +17%Lavked · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPhantom remove Mirage
2. BanLavked remove Inferno
3. PickPhantom take Ancient
4. PickLavked take Dust2
5. BanLavked remove Nuke
6. BanPhantom remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:8
Phantom 50%Lavked 50%
The model gave 50% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
Phantom 57%Lavked 43%
The model gave 57% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom · 68%
Series resultPhantom 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2