Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Prestige#100 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Betclic#65 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePrestige ban
60%45%
Prestige · 1 mapedge Prestige +15%Betclic · 18 maps
AnubisBetclic pick
50%67%
Prestige · 2 mapsedge Betclic +17%Betclic · 14 maps
MiragePrestige ban
43%54%
Prestige · 3 mapsedge Betclic +11%Betclic · 9 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%60%
Prestige · 4 mapsedge Betclic +10%Betclic · 6 maps
Dust2Betclic ban
60%46%
Prestige · 1 mapedge Prestige +14%Betclic · 9 maps
InfernoBetclic ban
50%33%
Prestige · 4 mapsedge Prestige +17%Betclic · 2 maps
OverpassPrestige pick
50%30%
Prestige · 0 mapsedge Prestige +20%Betclic · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPrestige remove Mirage
2. BanBetclic remove Inferno
3. PickPrestige take Overpass
4. PickBetclic take Anubis
5. BanBetclic remove Dust2
6. BanPrestige remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
Prestige 43%Betclic 57%
The model gave 57% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
Prestige 31%Betclic 69%
The model gave 69% on Betclic — the map was taken by Betclic.
Model check result
Model favoriteBetclic · 79%
Series resultBetclic 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2