Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Prestige#100 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Metizport#52 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMetizport pick
33%60%
Prestige · 2 mapsedge Metizport +27%Metizport · 6 maps
NukePrestige ban
50%50%
Prestige · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Metizport · 6 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%56%
Prestige · 0 mapsedge Metizport +6%Metizport · 5 maps
AncientMetizport ban
67%50%
Prestige · 2 mapsedge Prestige +17%Metizport · 2 maps
AnubisMetizport ban
50%50%
Prestige · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Metizport · 2 maps
InfernoPrestige pick
50%50%
Prestige · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Metizport · 2 maps
DefaultPrestige ban
50%60%
Prestige · 0 mapsedge Metizport +10%Metizport · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPrestige remove Nuke
2. BanMetizport remove Ancient
3. PickPrestige take Inferno
4. PickMetizport take Mirage
5. BanMetizport remove Anubis
6. BanPrestige remove Default
DeciderOverpass (50% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
Prestige 69%Metizport 31%
The model gave 69% on Prestige — the map was taken by Metizport.
Infernoprediction correct5:13
Prestige 47%Metizport 53%
The model gave 53% on Metizport — the map was taken by Metizport.
Model check result
Model favoriteMetizport · 75%
Series resultMetizport 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2