CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Privateer#189 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Entropy#132 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEntropy pick
33%57%
Privateer · 5 mapsedge Entropy +24%Entropy · 33 maps
Dust2Privateer pick
29%25%
Privateer · 10 mapsnearly even +4%Entropy · 16 maps
AncientPrivateer ban
33%55%
Privateer · 8 mapsedge Entropy +22%Entropy · 16 maps
NukeEntropy ban
35%56%
Privateer · 13 mapsedge Entropy +21%Entropy · 5 maps
CacheEntropy ban
40%50%
Privateer · 1 mapedge Entropy +10%Entropy · 16 maps
Defaultpossible decider
29%43%
Privateer · 3 mapsedge Entropy +14%Entropy · 10 maps
AnubisPrivateer ban
50%44%
Privateer · 0 mapsedge Privateer +6%Entropy · 12 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPrivateer remove Anubis
2. BanEntropy remove Nuke
3. PickPrivateer take Dust2
4. PickEntropy take Mirage
5. BanEntropy remove Cache
6. BanPrivateer remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (29% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Privateer 35%Entropy 65%
The model gave 65% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 68%
Series resultEntropy 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1