CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Privateer#189 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePrivateer pick
35%44%
Privateer · 13 mapsedge NAVI Junior +9%NAVI Junior · 5 maps
Dust2NAVI Junior ban
29%45%
Privateer · 10 mapsedge NAVI Junior +16%NAVI Junior · 7 maps
AncientPrivateer ban
33%40%
Privateer · 8 mapsedge NAVI Junior +7%NAVI Junior · 6 maps
MirageNAVI Junior pick
33%64%
Privateer · 5 mapsedge NAVI Junior +31%NAVI Junior · 7 maps
AnubisPrivateer ban
50%36%
Privateer · 0 mapsedge Privateer +14%NAVI Junior · 7 maps
InfernoNAVI Junior ban
67%33%
Privateer · 2 mapsedge Privateer +34%NAVI Junior · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
33%60%
Privateer · 2 mapsedge NAVI Junior +27%NAVI Junior · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPrivateer remove Anubis
2. BanNAVI Junior remove Inferno
3. PickPrivateer take Nuke
4. PickNAVI Junior take Mirage
5. BanNAVI Junior remove Dust2
6. BanPrivateer remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (33% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Privateer 25%NAVI Junior 75%
The model gave 75% on NAVI Junior — the map was taken by NAVI Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteNAVI Junior · 62%
Series resultNAVI Junior 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1