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Intel EPIC48 · BO3
result vs prediction
Privateer#226 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Voracityloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
Privateer 47%Voracity 53%
The model gave 53% on Voracity — the map was taken by Privateer.
Ancientprediction missed14:16
Privateer 53%Voracity 47%
The model gave 53% on Privateer — the map was taken by Voracity.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
Privateer 50%Voracity 50%
The model gave 50% on Privateer — the map was taken by Privateer.
Model check result
Model favoritePrivateer · 59%
Series resultPrivateer 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3