CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
MAGICOSwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon pick
40%50%
Procyon · 11 mapsedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 4 maps
MirageProcyon ban
50%60%
Procyon · 8 mapsedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 1 map
AncientProcyon ban
43%38%
Procyon · 3 mapsedge Procyon +5%MAGICOS · 4 maps
InfernoMAGICOS ban
57%25%
Procyon · 3 mapsedge Procyon +32%MAGICOS · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%63%
Procyon · 2 mapsedge MAGICOS +13%MAGICOS · 4 maps
NukeMAGICOS ban
22%50%
Procyon · 5 mapsedge MAGICOS +28%MAGICOS · 0 maps
AnubisMAGICOS pick
40%50%
Procyon · 1 mapedge MAGICOS +10%MAGICOS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Ancient
2. BanMAGICOS remove Nuke
3. PickProcyon take Dust2
4. PickMAGICOS take Anubis
5. BanMAGICOS remove Inferno
6. BanProcyon remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:2
Procyon 43%MAGICOS 57%
The model gave 57% on MAGICOS — the map was taken by Procyon.
Anubisprediction correct8:13
Procyon 37%MAGICOS 63%
The model gave 63% on MAGICOS — the map was taken by MAGICOS.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Procyon 80%MAGICOS 20%
The model gave 80% on Procyon — the map was taken by MAGICOS.
Model check result
Model favoriteProcyon · 56%
Series resultMAGICOS 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3