CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · win 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Procyon pick
38%41%
Procyon · 9 mapsnearly even -3%paiN Academy · 13 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
45%44%
Procyon · 7 mapsnearly even +1%paiN Academy · 14 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
22%40%
Procyon · 5 mapsedge paiN Academy +18%paiN Academy · 6 maps
AnubisProcyon ban
40%54%
Procyon · 1 mapedge paiN Academy +14%paiN Academy · 9 maps
InfernoProcyon ban
57%60%
Procyon · 3 mapsnearly even -3%paiN Academy · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%63%
Procyon · 2 mapsedge paiN Academy +13%paiN Academy · 4 maps
OverpasspaiN Academy ban
60%43%
Procyon · 1 mapedge Procyon +17%paiN Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Anubis
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
3. PickProcyon take Dust2
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Overpass
6. BanProcyon remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (50% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Procyon 50%paiN Academy 50%
The model gave 50% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
Procyon 48%paiN Academy 52%
The model gave 52% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoritepaiN Academy · 55%
Series resultProcyon 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2