CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Procyon#119 in the world · win 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Red Feet#222 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Red Feet ban
45%30%
Procyon · 7 mapsedge Procyon +15%Red Feet · 6 maps
MirageRed Feet pick
40%50%
Procyon · 6 mapsedge Red Feet +10%Red Feet · 6 maps
InfernoProcyon pick
57%60%
Procyon · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Red Feet · 6 maps
NukeRed Feet ban
22%40%
Procyon · 5 mapsedge Red Feet +18%Red Feet · 1 map
AncientProcyon ban
40%33%
Procyon · 1 mapedge Procyon +7%Red Feet · 2 maps
DefaultProcyon ban
50%60%
Procyon · 2 mapsedge Red Feet +10%Red Feet · 1 map
Overpasspossible decider
60%50%
Procyon · 1 mapedge Procyon +10%Red Feet · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProcyon remove Ancient
2. BanRed Feet remove Dust2
3. PickProcyon take Inferno
4. PickRed Feet take Mirage
5. BanRed Feet remove Nuke
6. BanProcyon remove Default
DeciderOverpass (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed8:13
Procyon 69%Red Feet 31%
The model gave 69% on Procyon — the map was taken by Red Feet.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
Procyon 37%Red Feet 63%
The model gave 63% on Red Feet — the map was taken by Procyon.
Ancientprediction correct16:13
Procyon 57%Red Feet 43%
The model gave 57% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed Feet · 51%
Series resultProcyon 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3