CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Project 91#160 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Vexar#141 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientProject 91 pick
50%60%
Project 91 · 4 mapsedge Vexar +10%Vexar · 1 map
MirageVexar ban
50%50%
Project 91 · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Vexar · 0 maps
InfernoProject 91 ban
33%40%
Project 91 · 2 mapsedge Vexar +7%Vexar · 1 map
AnubisVexar ban
50%50%
Project 91 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Vexar · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%40%
Project 91 · 1 mapnearly even +0%Vexar · 1 map
Dust2Project 91 ban
40%60%
Project 91 · 1 mapedge Vexar +20%Vexar · 1 map
NukeVexar pick
50%50%
Project 91 · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Vexar · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanProject 91 remove Dust2
2. BanVexar remove Mirage
3. PickProject 91 take Ancient
4. PickVexar take Nuke
5. BanVexar remove Anubis
6. BanProject 91 remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (40% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Project 91 50%Vexar 50%
The model gave 50% on Project 91 — the map was taken by Vexar.
Model check result
Model favoriteProject 91 · 53%
Series resultVexar 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1