NODWIN Clutch Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ALGO#146 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisALGO pick
40%40%
PsychoFace · 1 mapnearly even +0%ALGO · 1 map
DefaultPsychoFace pick
50%50%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ALGO · 0 maps
Dust2ALGO ban
60%50%
PsychoFace · 1 mapedge PsychoFace +10%ALGO · 0 maps
NukePsychoFace ban
50%40%
PsychoFace · 0 mapsedge PsychoFace +10%ALGO · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPsychoFace remove Nuke
2. BanALGO remove Dust2
3. PickPsychoFace take Default
4. PickALGO take Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
PsychoFace 47%ALGO 53%
The model gave 53% on ALGO — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Overpassprediction correct13:7
PsychoFace 53%ALGO 47%
The model gave 53% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Model check result
Model favoritePsychoFace · 68%
Series resultPsychoFace 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2