CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
DONSTU#203 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
50%55%
PsychoFace · 4 mapsedge DONSTU +5%DONSTU · 7 maps
NukePsychoFace pick
50%27%
PsychoFace · 4 mapsedge PsychoFace +23%DONSTU · 7 maps
AnubisDONSTU pick
40%46%
PsychoFace · 1 mapedge DONSTU +6%DONSTU · 9 maps
CacheDONSTU ban
50%33%
PsychoFace · 0 mapsedge PsychoFace +17%DONSTU · 8 maps
AncientPsychoFace ban
50%63%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsedge DONSTU +13%DONSTU · 4 maps
MirageDONSTU ban
43%40%
PsychoFace · 3 mapsnearly even +3%DONSTU · 1 map
InfernoPsychoFace ban
40%60%
PsychoFace · 1 mapedge DONSTU +20%DONSTU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPsychoFace remove Ancient
2. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
3. PickPsychoFace take Nuke
4. PickDONSTU take Anubis
5. BanDONSTU remove Cache
6. BanPsychoFace remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (50% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
PsychoFace 64%DONSTU 36%
The model gave 64% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Nukeprediction missed14:16
PsychoFace 75%DONSTU 25%
The model gave 75% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Model check result
Model favoritePsychoFace · 52%
Series resultDONSTU 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2