CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisPsychoFace ban
50%40%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsedge PsychoFace +10%Leo · 1 map
Dust2PsychoFace pick
43%50%
PsychoFace · 3 mapsedge Leo +7%Leo · 0 maps
AncientLeo pick
40%40%
PsychoFace · 1 mapnearly even +0%Leo · 1 map
DefaultLeo ban
50%50%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Leo · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%60%
PsychoFace · 1 mapnearly even +0%Leo · 1 map
OverpassLeo ban
67%50%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsedge PsychoFace +17%Leo · 0 maps
NukePsychoFace ban
40%50%
PsychoFace · 1 mapedge Leo +10%Leo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPsychoFace remove Nuke
2. BanLeo remove Overpass
3. PickPsychoFace take Dust2
4. PickLeo take Ancient
5. BanLeo remove Default
6. BanPsychoFace remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed6:13
PsychoFace 57%Leo 43%
The model gave 57% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by Leo.
Dust2prediction correct18:22
PsychoFace 46%Leo 54%
The model gave 54% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoritePsychoFace · 63%
Series resultLeo 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2