CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PsychoFace pick
53%69%
PsychoFace · 15 mapsedge Leo +16%Leo · 12 maps
Anubispossible decider
44%36%
PsychoFace · 5 mapsedge PsychoFace +8%Leo · 10 maps
MiragePsychoFace ban
42%63%
PsychoFace · 8 mapsedge Leo +21%Leo · 4 maps
AncientPsychoFace ban
25%45%
PsychoFace · 4 mapsedge Leo +20%Leo · 7 maps
NukeLeo ban
42%29%
PsychoFace · 8 mapsedge PsychoFace +13%Leo · 3 maps
OverpassLeo ban
73%50%
PsychoFace · 7 mapsedge PsychoFace +23%Leo · 0 maps
DefaultLeo pick
50%50%
PsychoFace · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Leo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPsychoFace remove Ancient
2. BanLeo remove Overpass
3. PickPsychoFace take Dust2
4. PickLeo take Default
5. BanLeo remove Nuke
6. BanPsychoFace remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (44% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:3
PsychoFace 56%Leo 44%
The model gave 56% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by PsychoFace.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
PsychoFace 67%Leo 33%
The model gave 67% on PsychoFace — the map was taken by Leo.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
PsychoFace 34%Leo 66%
The model gave 66% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteLeo · 59%
Series resultLeo 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3