CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
40%50%
Pugdesonesto · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 maps
InfernoPugdesonesto ban
40%50%
Pugdesonesto · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanPugdesonesto remove Inferno
2. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Pugdesonesto 47%QUINTESSÊNCIA 53%
The model gave 53% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Infernoprediction correct11:13
Pugdesonesto 43%QUINTESSÊNCIA 57%
The model gave 57% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUINTESSÊNCIA · 50%
Series resultQUINTESSÊNCIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2