CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
QUAZAR#94 in the world · win 2:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Permitta#103 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePermitta pick
45%50%
QUAZAR · 7 mapsedge Permitta +5%Permitta · 16 maps
MirageQUAZAR pick
71%57%
QUAZAR · 10 mapsedge QUAZAR +14%Permitta · 10 maps
CacheQUAZAR ban
60%70%
QUAZAR · 11 mapsedge Permitta +10%Permitta · 6 maps
Dust2Permitta ban
47%33%
QUAZAR · 11 mapsedge QUAZAR +14%Permitta · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
58%55%
QUAZAR · 8 mapsnearly even +3%Permitta · 7 maps
AncientQUAZAR ban
50%40%
QUAZAR · 0 mapsedge QUAZAR +10%Permitta · 11 maps
DefaultPermitta ban
60%38%
QUAZAR · 1 mapedge QUAZAR +22%Permitta · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQUAZAR remove Ancient
2. BanPermitta remove Dust2
3. PickQUAZAR take Mirage
4. PickPermitta take Nuke
5. BanPermitta remove Default
6. BanQUAZAR remove Cache
DeciderAnubis (58% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
QUAZAR 68%Permitta 32%
The model gave 68% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by Permitta.
Nukeprediction missed13:10
QUAZAR 42%Permitta 58%
The model gave 58% on Permitta — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Anubisprediction correct13:3
QUAZAR 54%Permitta 46%
The model gave 54% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Model check result
Model favoritePermitta · 50%
Series resultQUAZAR 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3