CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Peladona pick
67%78%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 5 mapsedge Peladona +11%Peladona · 5 maps
CachePeladona ban
75%40%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 8 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +35%Peladona · 1 map
Miragepossible decider
60%50%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 6 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +10%Peladona · 2 maps
AncientPeladona ban
44%40%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Peladona · 1 map
InfernoQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
50%63%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 2 mapsedge Peladona +13%Peladona · 4 maps
DefaultQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
50%43%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +7%Peladona · 3 maps
AnubisQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
40%50%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 mapedge Peladona +10%Peladona · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Anubis
2. BanPeladona remove Cache
3. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Default
4. PickPeladona take Dust2
5. BanPeladona remove Ancient
6. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
QUINTESSÊNCIA 57%Peladona 43%
The model gave 57% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUINTESSÊNCIA · 61%
Series resultQUINTESSÊNCIA 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1