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CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
QUINTESSÊNCIA#200 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Procyon#119 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2QUINTESSÊNCIA pick
71%35%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 3 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +36%Procyon · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%50%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 3 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +7%Procyon · 8 maps
InfernoProcyon pick
60%57%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 mapnearly even +3%Procyon · 10 maps
MirageProcyon ban
60%67%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 6 mapsedge Procyon +7%Procyon · 5 maps
CacheProcyon ban
75%50%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 8 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +25%Procyon · 0 maps
AnubisQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
40%60%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 mapedge Procyon +20%Procyon · 6 maps
NukeQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
60%50%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +10%Procyon · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Nuke
2. BanProcyon remove Cache
3. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Dust2
4. PickProcyon take Inferno
5. BanProcyon remove Mirage
6. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
QUINTESSÊNCIA 84%Procyon 16%
The model gave 84% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Infernoprediction correct9:13
QUINTESSÊNCIA 50%Procyon 50%
The model gave 50% on Procyon — the map was taken by Procyon.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
QUINTESSÊNCIA 57%Procyon 43%
The model gave 57% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by Procyon.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUINTESSÊNCIA · 56%
Series resultProcyon 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3