CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quintessence#162 in the world · win 2:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Falcons Force#134 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageQuintessence pick
71%53%
Quintessence · 3 mapsedge Quintessence +18%Falcons Force · 13 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%59%
Quintessence · 2 mapsedge Quintessence +8%Falcons Force · 13 maps
CacheFalcons Force pick
43%71%
Quintessence · 3 mapsedge Falcons Force +28%Falcons Force · 10 maps
NukeFalcons Force ban
50%31%
Quintessence · 0 mapsedge Quintessence +19%Falcons Force · 9 maps
AnubisQuintessence ban
50%55%
Quintessence · 0 mapsedge Falcons Force +5%Falcons Force · 7 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
57%43%
Quintessence · 3 mapsedge Quintessence +14%Falcons Force · 3 maps
AncientQuintessence ban
50%50%
Quintessence · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons Force · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQuintessence remove Anubis
2. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
3. PickQuintessence take Mirage
4. PickFalcons Force take Cache
5. BanFalcons Force remove Nuke
6. BanQuintessence remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (67% / 59%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:9
Quintessence 25%Falcons Force 75%
The model gave 75% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
Quintessence 55%Falcons Force 45%
The model gave 55% on Quintessence — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 59%
Series resultQuintessence 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2