CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quintessence#162 in the world · win 2:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ryvex#206 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientQuintessence ban
50%60%
Quintessence · 0 mapsedge Ryvex +10%Ryvex · 11 maps
Dust2Ryvex pick
57%42%
Quintessence · 3 mapsedge Quintessence +15%Ryvex · 8 maps
MirageRyvex ban
71%40%
Quintessence · 3 mapsedge Quintessence +31%Ryvex · 6 maps
CacheQuintessence pick
50%38%
Quintessence · 4 mapsedge Quintessence +12%Ryvex · 4 maps
NukeRyvex ban
50%30%
Quintessence · 0 mapsedge Quintessence +20%Ryvex · 6 maps
InfernoQuintessence ban
71%60%
Quintessence · 3 mapsedge Quintessence +11%Ryvex · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQuintessence remove Ancient
2. BanRyvex remove Mirage
3. PickQuintessence take Cache
4. PickRyvex take Dust2
5. BanRyvex remove Nuke
6. BanQuintessence remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed11:13
Quintessence 72%Ryvex 28%
The model gave 72% on Quintessence — the map was taken by Ryvex.
Cacheprediction correct13:10
Quintessence 60%Ryvex 40%
The model gave 60% on Quintessence — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Quintessence 65%Ryvex 35%
The model gave 65% on Quintessence — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuintessence · 51%
Series resultQuintessence 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3