CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageQuintessence pick
60%60%
Quintessence · 1 mapnearly even +0%TitanFlow · 1 map
CacheTitanFlow ban
60%50%
Quintessence · 1 mapedge Quintessence +10%TitanFlow · 0 maps
DefaultQuintessence ban
50%60%
Quintessence · 0 mapsedge TitanFlow +10%TitanFlow · 1 map
Dust2TitanFlow pick
40%50%
Quintessence · 1 mapedge TitanFlow +10%TitanFlow · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQuintessence remove Default
2. BanTitanFlow remove Cache
3. PickQuintessence take Mirage
4. PickTitanFlow take Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed12:16
Quintessence 63%TitanFlow 37%
The model gave 63% on Quintessence — the map was taken by TitanFlow.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Quintessence 47%TitanFlow 53%
The model gave 53% on TitanFlow — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Infernoprediction correct13:6
Quintessence 50%TitanFlow 50%
The model gave 50% on Quintessence — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Model check result
Model favoriteTitanFlow · 53%
Series resultQuintessence 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3