?
CCT 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
R2#208 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Blitzkrieg#232 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeR2 pick
38%50%
R2 · 4 mapsedge Blitzkrieg +12%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
Dust2Blitzkrieg pick
57%50%
R2 · 3 mapsedge R2 +7%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
OverpassR2 ban
33%50%
R2 · 2 mapsedge Blitzkrieg +17%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
AncientBlitzkrieg ban
60%50%
R2 · 1 mapedge R2 +10%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
DefaultBlitzkrieg ban
60%50%
R2 · 1 mapedge R2 +10%Blitzkrieg · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanR2 remove Overpass
2. BanBlitzkrieg remove Default
3. PickR2 take Nuke
4. PickBlitzkrieg take Dust2
5. BanBlitzkrieg remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
R2 54%Blitzkrieg 46%
The model gave 54% on R2 — the map was taken by R2.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
R2 40%Blitzkrieg 60%
The model gave 60% on Blitzkrieg — the map was taken by R2.
Model check result
Model favoriteR2 · 52%
Series resultR2 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2