Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRaccoons pick
60%45%
Raccoons · 6 mapsedge Raccoons +15%Eternal Fire · 7 maps
Dust2possible decider
50%50%
Raccoons · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Eternal Fire · 8 maps
AncientEternal Fire pick
50%64%
Raccoons · 2 mapsedge Eternal Fire +14%Eternal Fire · 7 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
67%50%
Raccoons · 2 mapsedge Raccoons +17%Eternal Fire · 4 maps
CacheRaccoons ban
50%56%
Raccoons · 0 mapsedge Eternal Fire +6%Eternal Fire · 5 maps
DefaultRaccoons ban
33%60%
Raccoons · 2 mapsedge Eternal Fire +27%Eternal Fire · 1 map
NukeEternal Fire ban
60%33%
Raccoons · 1 mapedge Raccoons +27%Eternal Fire · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRaccoons remove Cache
2. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
3. PickRaccoons take Mirage
4. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
5. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
6. BanRaccoons remove Default
DeciderDust2 (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Raccoons 25%Eternal Fire 75%
The model gave 75% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 75%
Series resultEternal Fire 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1