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ESL Challenger League Season 51 Asia-Pacific Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rare Atom#98 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Just Swing#173 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
Rare Atom 47%Just Swing 53%
The model gave 53% on Just Swing — the map was taken by Rare Atom.
Anubisprediction missed14:16
Rare Atom 53%Just Swing 47%
The model gave 53% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by Just Swing.
Infernoprediction missed10:13
Rare Atom 50%Just Swing 50%
The model gave 50% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by Just Swing.
Model check result
Model favoriteRare Atom · 69%
Series resultJust Swing 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3