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BRO Summer Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
RayRayloss 1:2
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:2
DONSTU#221 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisDONSTU pick
50%55%
RayRay · 0 mapsedge DONSTU +5%DONSTU · 18 maps
Dust2RayRay pick
50%35%
RayRay · 2 mapsedge RayRay +15%DONSTU · 16 maps
Ancientpossible decider
40%43%
RayRay · 1 mapnearly even -3%DONSTU · 10 maps
InfernoDONSTU ban
50%43%
RayRay · 0 mapsedge RayRay +7%DONSTU · 10 maps
CacheRayRay ban
50%55%
RayRay · 0 mapsedge DONSTU +5%DONSTU · 7 maps
NukeDONSTU ban
50%38%
RayRay · 0 mapsedge RayRay +12%DONSTU · 4 maps
DefaultRayRay ban
50%60%
RayRay · 0 mapsedge DONSTU +10%DONSTU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRayRay remove Cache
2. BanDONSTU remove Nuke
3. PickRayRay take Dust2
4. PickDONSTU take Anubis
5. BanDONSTU remove Inferno
6. BanRayRay remove Default
DeciderAncient (40% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
RayRay 68%DONSTU 32%
The model gave 68% on RayRay — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Anubisprediction missed13:4
RayRay 42%DONSTU 58%
The model gave 58% on DONSTU — the map was taken by RayRay.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
RayRay 47%DONSTU 53%
The model gave 53% on DONSTU — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Model check result
Model favoriteDONSTU · 62%
Series resultDONSTU 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3