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ESL Challenger League Season 51 North America Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Reign Above#247 in the world · win 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
ex-Marsborneloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Reign Above 50%ex-Marsborne 50%
The model gave 50% on Reign Above — the map was taken by Reign Above.
Model check result
Model favoriteReign Above · 50%
Series resultReign Above 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1