Svenska CS-Ligan 2026 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
ReThink#237 in the world · win 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientReThink pick
67%71%
ReThink · 8 mapsnearly even -4%roamsfiest · 3 maps
Miragepossible decider
64%43%
ReThink · 7 mapsedge ReThink +21%roamsfiest · 3 maps
AnubisReThink ban
38%67%
ReThink · 4 mapsedge roamsfiest +29%roamsfiest · 2 maps
Dust2roamsfiest pick
44%60%
ReThink · 5 mapsedge roamsfiest +16%roamsfiest · 1 map
InfernoReThink ban
29%50%
ReThink · 3 mapsedge roamsfiest +21%roamsfiest · 2 maps
Overpassroamsfiest ban
71%40%
ReThink · 3 mapsedge ReThink +31%roamsfiest · 1 map
Nukeroamsfiest ban
50%40%
ReThink · 0 mapsedge ReThink +10%roamsfiest · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanReThink remove Inferno
2. Banroamsfiest remove Overpass
3. PickReThink take Ancient
4. Pickroamsfiest take Dust2
5. Banroamsfiest remove Nuke
6. BanReThink remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (64% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
ReThink 32%roamsfiest 68%
The model gave 68% on roamsfiest — the map was taken by ReThink.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
ReThink 47%roamsfiest 53%
The model gave 53% on roamsfiest — the map was taken by roamsfiest.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
ReThink 70%roamsfiest 30%
The model gave 70% on ReThink — the map was taken by ReThink.
Model check result
Model favoriteroamsfiest · 51%
Series resultReThink 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3