CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Revise#235 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Privateer#207 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
36%29%
Revise · 7 mapsedge Revise +7%Privateer · 13 maps
NukeRevise ban
50%32%
Revise · 0 mapsedge Revise +18%Privateer · 18 maps
Dust2Privateer ban
50%25%
Revise · 6 mapsedge Revise +25%Privateer · 8 maps
MirageRevise pick
50%30%
Revise · 8 mapsedge Revise +20%Privateer · 6 maps
CachePrivateer pick
27%60%
Revise · 7 mapsedge Privateer +33%Privateer · 1 map
DefaultPrivateer ban
67%20%
Revise · 2 mapsedge Revise +47%Privateer · 6 maps
InfernoRevise ban
43%57%
Revise · 3 mapsedge Privateer +14%Privateer · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRevise remove Nuke
2. BanPrivateer remove Dust2
3. PickRevise take Mirage
4. PickPrivateer take Cache
5. BanPrivateer remove Default
6. BanRevise remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (36% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Revise 61%Privateer 39%
The model gave 61% on Revise — the map was taken by Revise.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Revise 33%Privateer 67%
The model gave 67% on Privateer — the map was taken by Privateer.
Cacheprediction correct8:13
Revise 20%Privateer 80%
The model gave 80% on Privateer — the map was taken by Privateer.
Model check result
Model favoritePrivateer · 52%
Series resultPrivateer 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3