ESL Challenger League Season 51 Oceania Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rooster#196 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Rooster 50%MARKandLARRY 50%
The model gave 50% on Rooster — the map was taken by MARKandLARRY.
Model check result
Model favoriteRooster · 65%
Series resultMARKandLARRY 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1