ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Rooster#158 in the worldseries probability
62%38%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRooster ban
55%50%
Rooster · 7 mapsedge Rooster +5%MARKandLARRY · 2 maps
AnubisRooster pick
70%50%
Rooster · 6 mapsedge Rooster +20%MARKandLARRY · 2 maps
InfernoMARKandLARRY pick
44%43%
Rooster · 5 mapsnearly even +1%MARKandLARRY · 3 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%50%
Rooster · 5 mapsedge Rooster +6%MARKandLARRY · 2 maps
NukeRooster ban
38%40%
Rooster · 4 mapsnearly even -2%MARKandLARRY · 1 map
OverpassMARKandLARRY ban
40%50%
Rooster · 1 mapedge MARKandLARRY +10%MARKandLARRY · 2 maps
CacheMARKandLARRY ban
60%50%
Rooster · 1 mapedge Rooster +10%MARKandLARRY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRooster remove Nuke
2. BanMARKandLARRY remove Cache
3. PickRooster take Anubis
4. PickMARKandLARRY take Inferno
5. BanMARKandLARRY remove Overpass
6. BanRooster remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (56% / 50%)