CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#130 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HYPERSPIRIT#113 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2HYPERSPIRIT ban
46%42%
Rune Eaters · 24 mapsnearly even +4%HYPERSPIRIT · 8 maps
MirageRune Eaters pick
65%55%
Rune Eaters · 16 mapsedge Rune Eaters +10%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
AncientHYPERSPIRIT ban
50%29%
Rune Eaters · 12 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%HYPERSPIRIT · 10 maps
CacheRune Eaters ban
55%56%
Rune Eaters · 7 mapsnearly even -1%HYPERSPIRIT · 12 maps
InfernoRune Eaters ban
42%46%
Rune Eaters · 8 mapsnearly even -4%HYPERSPIRIT · 9 maps
AnubisHYPERSPIRIT pick
71%50%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
71%60%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +11%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Cache
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Ancient
3. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Anubis
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Dust2
6. BanRune Eaters remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (71% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Rune Eaters 64%HYPERSPIRIT 36%
The model gave 64% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Cacheprediction correct11:13
Rune Eaters 45%HYPERSPIRIT 55%
The model gave 55% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Infernoprediction correct4:13
Rune Eaters 45%HYPERSPIRIT 55%
The model gave 55% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 55%
Series resultHYPERSPIRIT 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3