MySkill LG UltraGear Tournament 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NOVAQ#237 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
44%50%
Rune Eaters · 14 mapsedge NOVAQ +6%NOVAQ · 2 maps
Dust2Rune Eaters pick
56%67%
Rune Eaters · 14 mapsedge NOVAQ +11%NOVAQ · 2 maps
MirageNOVAQ ban
53%50%
Rune Eaters · 15 mapsnearly even +3%NOVAQ · 0 maps
InfernoNOVAQ ban
60%40%
Rune Eaters · 6 mapsedge Rune Eaters +20%NOVAQ · 1 map
NukeRune Eaters ban
25%50%
Rune Eaters · 4 mapsedge NOVAQ +25%NOVAQ · 0 maps
DefaultNOVAQ pick
43%50%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge NOVAQ +7%NOVAQ · 0 maps
OverpassRune Eaters ban
33%40%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge NOVAQ +7%NOVAQ · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
2. BanNOVAQ remove Mirage
3. PickRune Eaters take Dust2
4. PickNOVAQ take Default
5. BanNOVAQ remove Inferno
6. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (44% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed17:19
Rune Eaters 67%NOVAQ 33%
The model gave 67% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by NOVAQ.
Mirageprediction correct16:14
Rune Eaters 56%NOVAQ 44%
The model gave 56% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Dust2prediction missed13:8
Rune Eaters 38%NOVAQ 62%
The model gave 62% on NOVAQ — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 64%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3