KOKONISTER Pavlodar Ertis Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Omega#148 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Omega pick
57%82%
Rune Eaters · 19 mapsedge Omega +25%Omega · 13 maps
MirageRune Eaters pick
54%54%
Rune Eaters · 20 mapsnearly even +0%Omega · 9 maps
AncientRune Eaters ban
50%56%
Rune Eaters · 16 mapsedge Omega +6%Omega · 12 maps
InfernoOmega ban
47%50%
Rune Eaters · 11 mapsnearly even -3%Omega · 2 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
33%40%
Rune Eaters · 5 mapsedge Omega +7%Omega · 6 maps
OverpassOmega ban
33%25%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge Rune Eaters +8%Omega · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%40%
Rune Eaters · 4 mapsedge Rune Eaters +10%Omega · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
2. BanOmega remove Inferno
3. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
4. PickOmega take Dust2
5. BanOmega remove Overpass
6. BanRune Eaters remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
Rune Eaters 44%Omega 56%
The model gave 56% on Omega — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Mirageprediction correct13:3
Rune Eaters 53%Omega 47%
The model gave 53% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega · 55%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2