CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
RUSH#225 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
60%70%
RUSH · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 6 maps
MirageRUSH pick
50%50%
RUSH · 2 mapsnearly even +0%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 4 maps
AncientRUSH ban
33%50%
RUSH · 2 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +17%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 2 maps
Dust2possible decider
60%71%
RUSH · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +11%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 3 maps
InfernoRUSH ban
40%60%
RUSH · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +20%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
NukeQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
33%50%
RUSH · 2 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +17%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 maps
AnubisQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
50%40%
RUSH · 0 mapsedge RUSH +10%QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRUSH remove Inferno
2. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Nuke
3. PickRUSH take Mirage
4. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Cache
5. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Anubis
6. BanRUSH remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (60% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct6:13
RUSH 36%QUINTESSÊNCIA 64%
The model gave 64% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Mirageprediction missed2:13
RUSH 53%QUINTESSÊNCIA 47%
The model gave 53% on RUSH — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUINTESSÊNCIA · 56%
Series resultQUINTESSÊNCIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2