BetBoom RUSH B Summit Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
RUSH#225 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
ShindeN#77 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeShindeN ban
40%36%
RUSH · 1 mapnearly even +4%ShindeN · 7 maps
InfernoShindeN pick
50%70%
RUSH · 0 mapsedge ShindeN +20%ShindeN · 6 maps
MirageRUSH pick
40%56%
RUSH · 1 mapedge ShindeN +16%ShindeN · 5 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%56%
RUSH · 0 mapsedge ShindeN +6%ShindeN · 5 maps
Dust2ShindeN ban
50%50%
RUSH · 0 mapsnearly even +0%ShindeN · 4 maps
OverpassRUSH ban
50%75%
RUSH · 0 mapsedge ShindeN +25%ShindeN · 4 maps
CacheRUSH ban
50%40%
RUSH · 0 mapsedge RUSH +10%ShindeN · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRUSH remove Overpass
2. BanShindeN remove Nuke
3. PickRUSH take Mirage
4. PickShindeN take Inferno
5. BanShindeN remove Dust2
6. BanRUSH remove Cache
DeciderAncient (50% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
RUSH 47%ShindeN 53%
The model gave 53% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
RUSH 51%ShindeN 49%
The model gave 51% on RUSH — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Model check result
Model favoriteShindeN · 74%
Series resultShindeN 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2