ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
SAABloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PURE#126 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisPURE ban
50%29%
SAAB · 0 mapsedge SAAB +21%PURE · 3 maps
MirageSAAB ban
50%57%
SAAB · 0 mapsedge PURE +7%PURE · 3 maps
NukePURE pick
40%50%
SAAB · 1 mapedge PURE +10%PURE · 2 maps
Dust2SAAB ban
50%33%
SAAB · 0 mapsedge SAAB +17%PURE · 2 maps
InfernoSAAB pick
40%40%
SAAB · 1 mapnearly even +0%PURE · 1 map
AncientPURE ban
50%60%
SAAB · 0 mapsedge PURE +10%PURE · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAAB remove Dust2
2. BanPURE remove Anubis
3. PickSAAB take Inferno
4. PickPURE take Nuke
5. BanPURE remove Ancient
6. BanSAAB remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct2:13
SAAB 46%PURE 54%
The model gave 54% on PURE — the map was taken by PURE.
Nukeprediction correct2:13
SAAB 37%PURE 63%
The model gave 63% on PURE — the map was taken by PURE.
Model check result
Model favoritePURE · 58%
Series resultPURE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2