ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Sangal#48 in the world · win 13:4series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 13:4
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · loss 4:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSangal ban
50%83%
Sangal · 6 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +33%SportsBetExpert · 14 maps
Nukepossible decider
75%75%
Sangal · 8 mapsnearly even +0%SportsBetExpert · 12 maps
CacheSportsBetExpert ban
67%42%
Sangal · 8 mapsedge Sangal +25%SportsBetExpert · 8 maps
Dust2Sangal ban
40%50%
Sangal · 6 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +10%SportsBetExpert · 10 maps
InfernoSangal ban
50%68%
Sangal · 0 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +18%SportsBetExpert · 15 maps
AnubisSportsBetExpert ban
63%64%
Sangal · 4 mapsnearly even -1%SportsBetExpert · 7 maps
AncientSportsBetExpert ban
56%50%
Sangal · 5 mapsedge Sangal +6%SportsBetExpert · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSangal remove Inferno
2. BanSportsBetExpert remove Ancient
3. BanSangal remove Dust2
4. BanSportsBetExpert remove Cache
5. BanSangal remove Mirage
6. BanSportsBetExpert remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (75% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:4
Sangal 49%SportsBetExpert 51%
The model gave 51% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by Sangal.
Model check result
Model favoriteSangal · 61%
Series resultSangal 13:4
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1