Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Sangal#48 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSangal pick
40%40%
Sangal · 1 mapnearly even +0%Zeste · 1 map
AnubisSangal ban
40%50%
Sangal · 1 mapedge Zeste +10%Zeste · 0 maps
InfernoZeste ban
50%40%
Sangal · 0 mapsedge Sangal +10%Zeste · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSangal remove Anubis
2. BanZeste remove Inferno
3. PickSangal take Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:1
Sangal 47%Zeste 53%
The model gave 53% on Zeste — the map was taken by Sangal.
Anubisprediction missed13:0
Sangal 43%Zeste 57%
The model gave 57% on Zeste — the map was taken by Sangal.
Model check result
Model favoriteSangal · 50%
Series resultSangal 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2