Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Sashi#94 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ASTRAL#97 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
53%50%
Sashi · 13 mapsnearly even +3%ASTRAL · 8 maps
AncientASTRAL pick
42%69%
Sashi · 8 mapsedge ASTRAL +27%ASTRAL · 9 maps
Dust2Sashi ban
41%57%
Sashi · 13 mapsedge ASTRAL +16%ASTRAL · 3 maps
CacheSashi pick
67%50%
Sashi · 11 mapsedge Sashi +17%ASTRAL · 2 maps
AnubisASTRAL ban
67%50%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +17%ASTRAL · 6 maps
InfernoASTRAL ban
70%43%
Sashi · 6 mapsedge Sashi +27%ASTRAL · 3 maps
MirageSashi ban
40%50%
Sashi · 1 mapedge ASTRAL +10%ASTRAL · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Mirage
2. BanASTRAL remove Inferno
3. PickSashi take Cache
4. PickASTRAL take Ancient
5. BanASTRAL remove Anubis
6. BanSashi remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (53% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:8
Sashi 22%ASTRAL 78%
The model gave 78% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by Sashi.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
Sashi 56%ASTRAL 44%
The model gave 56% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi · 58%
Series resultSashi 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2