ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Sashi#91 in the world · win 13:9series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 13:9
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 9:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
55%62%
Sashi · 16 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +7%BASEMENT BOYS · 17 maps
AncientSashi ban
46%45%
Sashi · 9 mapsnearly even +1%BASEMENT BOYS · 18 maps
Dust2Sashi ban
40%53%
Sashi · 11 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +13%BASEMENT BOYS · 13 maps
CacheBASEMENT BOYS ban
61%54%
Sashi · 14 mapsedge Sashi +7%BASEMENT BOYS · 9 maps
MirageSashi ban
40%60%
Sashi · 1 mapedge BASEMENT BOYS +20%BASEMENT BOYS · 16 maps
AnubisBASEMENT BOYS ban
67%56%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +11%BASEMENT BOYS · 5 maps
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
58%40%
Sashi · 8 mapsedge Sashi +18%BASEMENT BOYS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Mirage
2. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
3. BanSashi remove Dust2
4. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Anubis
5. BanSashi remove Ancient
6. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Cache
DeciderNuke (55% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
Sashi 57%BASEMENT BOYS 43%
The model gave 57% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi · 59%
Series resultSashi 13:9
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1