CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sashi#94 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
44%56%
Sashi · 12 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +12%ex-RUSTEC · 21 map
Nukepossible decider
60%42%
Sashi · 11 mapsedge Sashi +18%ex-RUSTEC · 15 maps
AnubisSashi ban
67%57%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +10%ex-RUSTEC · 17 maps
CacheSashi pick
62%42%
Sashi · 9 mapsedge Sashi +20%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
78%50%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +28%ex-RUSTEC · 10 maps
MirageSashi ban
40%67%
Sashi · 1 mapedge ex-RUSTEC +27%ex-RUSTEC · 8 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
42%50%
Sashi · 8 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +8%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Mirage
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickSashi take Cache
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
6. BanSashi remove Anubis
DeciderNuke (60% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Sashi 35%ex-RUSTEC 65%
The model gave 65% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Cacheprediction correct13:10
Sashi 72%ex-RUSTEC 28%
The model gave 72% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Nukeprediction missed5:13
Sashi 67%ex-RUSTEC 33%
The model gave 67% on Sashi — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi · 74%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3