Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sashi#97 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HYPERSPIRIT#151 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheSashi pick
60%63%
Sashi · 16 mapsnearly even -3%HYPERSPIRIT · 15 maps
AncientHYPERSPIRIT ban
43%33%
Sashi · 10 mapsedge Sashi +10%HYPERSPIRIT · 11 maps
InfernoSashi ban
47%50%
Sashi · 11 mapsnearly even -3%HYPERSPIRIT · 10 maps
Dust2HYPERSPIRIT pick
40%46%
Sashi · 11 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +6%HYPERSPIRIT · 9 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
52%50%
Sashi · 19 mapsnearly even +2%HYPERSPIRIT · 0 maps
MirageSashi ban
33%43%
Sashi · 2 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +10%HYPERSPIRIT · 10 maps
Anubispossible decider
67%50%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +17%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Mirage
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. PickSashi take Cache
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Dust2
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Ancient
6. BanSashi remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed17:19
Sashi 57%HYPERSPIRIT 43%
The model gave 57% on Sashi — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Mirageprediction correct7:13
Sashi 43%HYPERSPIRIT 57%
The model gave 57% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi · 68%
Series resultHYPERSPIRIT 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2