CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sashi#53 in the world · win 2:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:1
PCIFIC#115 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2PCIFIC pick
41%64%
Sashi · 13 mapsedge PCIFIC +23%PCIFIC · 18 maps
NukeSashi ban
56%47%
Sashi · 14 mapsedge Sashi +9%PCIFIC · 11 maps
CacheSashi pick
63%67%
Sashi · 12 mapsnearly even -4%PCIFIC · 5 maps
AnubisPCIFIC ban
67%33%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +34%PCIFIC · 8 maps
Infernopossible decider
64%50%
Sashi · 7 mapsedge Sashi +14%PCIFIC · 6 maps
AncientPCIFIC ban
46%50%
Sashi · 9 mapsnearly even -4%PCIFIC · 0 maps
MirageSashi ban
40%45%
Sashi · 1 mapedge PCIFIC +5%PCIFIC · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Mirage
2. BanPCIFIC remove Ancient
3. PickSashi take Cache
4. PickPCIFIC take Dust2
5. BanPCIFIC remove Anubis
6. BanSashi remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (64% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:3
Sashi 26%PCIFIC 74%
The model gave 74% on PCIFIC — the map was taken by Sashi.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
Sashi 62%PCIFIC 38%
The model gave 62% on Sashi — the map was taken by PCIFIC.
Infernoprediction correct13:1
Sashi 64%PCIFIC 36%
The model gave 64% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Model check result
Model favoriteSashi · 56%
Series resultSashi 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3