FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
SAW#61 in the world · win 16:13series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 16:13
NT#92 in the world · loss 13:16The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNT ban
75%60%
SAW · 8 mapsedge SAW +15%NT · 1 map
Cachepossible decider
67%43%
SAW · 5 mapsedge SAW +24%NT · 3 maps
AncientSAW ban
56%40%
SAW · 5 mapsedge SAW +16%NT · 1 map
Dust2SAW ban
43%43%
SAW · 3 mapsnearly even +0%NT · 3 maps
NukeNT ban
67%40%
SAW · 5 mapsedge SAW +27%NT · 1 map
AnubisNT ban
50%40%
SAW · 4 mapsedge SAW +10%NT · 1 map
MirageSAW ban
60%43%
SAW · 1 mapedge SAW +17%NT · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW remove Mirage
2. BanNT remove Nuke
3. BanSAW remove Dust2
4. BanNT remove Anubis
5. BanSAW remove Ancient
6. BanNT remove Inferno
DeciderCache (67% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct16:13
SAW 60%NT 40%
The model gave 60% on SAW — the map was taken by SAW.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW · 73%
Series resultSAW 16:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1