CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · win 2:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
55%48%
SAW Youngsters · 7 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%ex-MANA · 21 map
Mirageex-MANA pick
43%58%
SAW Youngsters · 10 mapsedge ex-MANA +15%ex-MANA · 15 maps
AncientSAW Youngsters ban
45%47%
SAW Youngsters · 7 mapsnearly even -2%ex-MANA · 13 maps
InfernoSAW Youngsters pick
72%33%
SAW Youngsters · 14 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +39%ex-MANA · 5 maps
Nukeex-MANA ban
40%30%
SAW Youngsters · 6 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +10%ex-MANA · 6 maps
Anubisex-MANA ban
43%45%
SAW Youngsters · 3 mapsnearly even -2%ex-MANA · 7 maps
CacheSAW Youngsters ban
50%43%
SAW Youngsters · 0 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%ex-MANA · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW Youngsters remove Cache
2. Banex-MANA remove Nuke
3. PickSAW Youngsters take Inferno
4. Pickex-MANA take Mirage
5. Banex-MANA remove Anubis
6. BanSAW Youngsters remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (55% / 48%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
SAW Youngsters 33%ex-MANA 67%
The model gave 67% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
SAW Youngsters 59%ex-MANA 41%
The model gave 59% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by ex-MANA.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
SAW Youngsters 47%ex-MANA 53%
The model gave 53% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-MANA · 57%
Series resultSAW Youngsters 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3