HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
41%61%
SAW Youngsters · 13 mapsedge GenOne +20%GenOne · 32 maps
InfernoSAW Youngsters pick
71%47%
SAW Youngsters · 17 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +24%GenOne · 15 maps
AncientSAW Youngsters ban
46%60%
SAW Youngsters · 9 mapsedge GenOne +14%GenOne · 21 map
NukeGenOne ban
40%41%
SAW Youngsters · 6 mapsnearly even -1%GenOne · 13 maps
Anubispossible decider
58%85%
SAW Youngsters · 8 mapsedge GenOne +27%GenOne · 9 maps
MirageGenOne ban
37%50%
SAW Youngsters · 15 mapsedge GenOne +13%GenOne · 0 maps
CacheSAW Youngsters ban
50%40%
SAW Youngsters · 0 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +10%GenOne · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW Youngsters remove Cache
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickSAW Youngsters take Inferno
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Nuke
6. BanSAW Youngsters remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (58% / 85%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed7:13
SAW Youngsters 76%GenOne 24%
The model gave 76% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction correct3:13
SAW Youngsters 28%GenOne 72%
The model gave 72% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 74%
Series resultGenOne 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2