HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoREVENIX ban
71%50%
SAW Youngsters · 17 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +21%REVENIX · 0 maps
MirageSAW Youngsters ban
37%40%
SAW Youngsters · 15 mapsnearly even -3%REVENIX · 1 map
Dust2possible decider
38%33%
SAW Youngsters · 12 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +5%REVENIX · 2 maps
AncientREVENIX ban
42%33%
SAW Youngsters · 8 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +9%REVENIX · 2 maps
AnubisSAW Youngsters pick
58%33%
SAW Youngsters · 8 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +25%REVENIX · 2 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
40%40%
SAW Youngsters · 6 mapsnearly even +0%REVENIX · 1 map
DefaultREVENIX pick
50%50%
SAW Youngsters · 2 mapsnearly even +0%REVENIX · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
2. BanREVENIX remove Inferno
3. PickSAW Youngsters take Anubis
4. PickREVENIX take Default
5. BanREVENIX remove Ancient
6. BanSAW Youngsters remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (38% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
SAW Youngsters 58%REVENIX 42%
The model gave 58% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
SAW Youngsters 56%REVENIX 44%
The model gave 56% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 55%
Series resultSAW Youngsters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2