CCT 2026 South America Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Martians#220 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Sementes do Mal pick
30%33%
Sementes do Mal · 6 mapsnearly even -3%Martians · 2 maps
CacheMartians ban
27%50%
Sementes do Mal · 7 mapsedge Martians +23%Martians · 0 maps
MirageSementes do Mal ban
20%40%
Sementes do Mal · 6 mapsedge Martians +20%Martians · 1 map
AncientSementes do Mal ban
44%40%
Sementes do Mal · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Martians · 1 map
DefaultMartians pick
50%50%
Sementes do Mal · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Martians · 0 maps
InfernoMartians ban
43%50%
Sementes do Mal · 3 mapsedge Martians +7%Martians · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSementes do Mal remove Mirage
2. BanMartians remove Cache
3. PickSementes do Mal take Dust2
4. PickMartians take Default
5. BanMartians remove Inferno
6. BanSementes do Mal remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Sementes do Mal 49%Martians 51%
The model gave 51% on Martians — the map was taken by Sementes do Mal.
Mirageprediction correct7:13
Sementes do Mal 25%Martians 75%
The model gave 75% on Martians — the map was taken by Martians.
Ancientprediction missed7:13
Sementes do Mal 55%Martians 45%
The model gave 55% on Sementes do Mal — the map was taken by Martians.
Model check result
Model favoriteSementes do Mal · 51%
Series resultMartians 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3