Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
SemperFi#67 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Kaleido#154 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SemperFi ban
50%29%
SemperFi · 0 mapsedge SemperFi +21%Kaleido · 3 maps
InfernoKaleido ban
60%33%
SemperFi · 1 mapedge SemperFi +27%Kaleido · 2 maps
MirageKaleido pick
60%67%
SemperFi · 1 mapedge Kaleido +7%Kaleido · 2 maps
AncientSemperFi ban
40%60%
SemperFi · 1 mapedge Kaleido +20%Kaleido · 1 map
DefaultSemperFi pick
50%60%
SemperFi · 0 mapsedge Kaleido +10%Kaleido · 1 map
OverpassKaleido ban
50%60%
SemperFi · 0 mapsedge Kaleido +10%Kaleido · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSemperFi remove Dust2
2. BanKaleido remove Inferno
3. PickSemperFi take Default
4. PickKaleido take Mirage
5. BanKaleido remove Overpass
6. BanSemperFi remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed6:13
SemperFi 77%Kaleido 23%
The model gave 77% on SemperFi — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
SemperFi 40%Kaleido 60%
The model gave 60% on Kaleido — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Model check result
Model favoriteSemperFi · 68%
Series resultKaleido 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2